Keren Yarhi-Milo

Keren Yarhi-Milo

Research Interest

Dr. Keren Yarhi-Milo is the dean of Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs (SIPA) and the Adlai E. Stevenson Professor of International Relations. She is a world-renowned and award-winning expert in international security and crisis decision-making and the youngest dean in SIPA's history. Yarhi-Milo joined the tenured faculty at Columbia University in 2019 after a decade at Princeton University. Before becoming dean in July 2022, Yarhi-Milo served for two years as director of SIPA's Arnold A. Saltzman Institute of War and Peace Studies.  

As a scholar and professor, Yarhi-Milo bridges the worlds of academia and policy, focusing predominantly on how leaders make foreign-policy decisions regarding the use of force. Her work draws on cutting-edge methods and theoretical insights from psychology, organizational theory, and behavioral economics. Her research also delves into the complexities of signaling and (mis)perception in world politics, threat assessments and intelligence analysis, the role of secrecy and deception in foreign policy, and the importance of face-to-face diplomacy. She is the author of two award-winning books: Who Fights for Reputation? The Psychology of Leaders in International Conflict (Princeton, 2018), and Knowing The Adversary: Leaders, Intelligence Organizations, and Assessments of Intentions in International Relations (Princeton, 2014) and has published extensively in the top academic journals in the field of political science. 

Yarhi-Milo is one of the world's foremost scholars on the psychology of leadership and decision-making, making her a sought-after voice in the public arena. She recently coauthored an essay in The Atlantic on what the intelligence failures of the 1973 Yom Kippur War teach us about the October 7 Hamas terrorist attacks. She also coauthored an op-ed in The New York Times with her counterpart at Princeton, Dean Amaney Jamal, on the need for greater civil discourse on campuses. She is a frequent contributor to the print edition of Foreign Affairs, including most recently an essay entitled The Credibility Trap: Is Reputation Worth Fighting For (July/August 2024 issue), on why reputations for resolve are so difficult to maintain, and Why Smart Leaders Do Stupid Things: Is Foreign Policy Rational? (November/December 2023 issue), on why leaders do not always act rationally.

In 2023, Yarhi-Milo founded and launched the Institute of Global Politics (IGP), a new, world-class institute at Columbia SIPA with a faculty advisory board chaired by former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton. Building on the accomplishments of its inaugural year, IGP brings people together across geographic and political divides, creates a space for open dialogue across ideological differences, inspires new and policy-relevant ideas, and advances necessary conversations to build the foundation for impactful solutions addressing some of today's most pressing challenges. In March 2024, IGP launched its Women's Initiative, centered around four main pillars: women's economic opportunity, women's health, women's safety and security, and women's leadership, democracy, and human rights.

During the fall of 2023, Yarhi-Milo co-taught the course Inside the Situation Room with Secretary Clinton. The course of 380 students, chosen through a competitive application, discussed the psychological biases that influence crisis decision-making. Class sessions covered the role of advisors, emotions, reputation, domestic public opinion, and other factors, and merged some of the major theories of international relations with prominent historical case studies and insights from the Secretary's own time as a decision maker "inside the Situation Room." The theme of the course inspired an edited volume, edited by Yarhi-Milo and Secretary Clinton and featuring leading practitioners and scholars, forthcoming with Oxford University Press. 

Yarhi-Milo is a series editor of Princeton Studies in International History and Politics from Princeton University Press. She is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Yarhi-Milo earned her PhD at the University of Pennsylvania and a BA, summa cum laude, from Columbia University. She grew up in Israel, where she served in the IDF intelligence while completing mandatory military service.  While in Israel, she worked with several NGOs promoting peace in the Middle East, including the Peres Center for peace and Innovation. She lives in New York City with her husband and two sons.

Who Fights for Reputation? The Psychology of Leaders in International Conflict. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2018. Print.

Yarhi-Milo, Keren. Knowing The Adversary: Leaders, Intelligence Organizations, and Assessments of Intentions in International Relations. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2014. Print.

Public Opinion and Decisions about Military Force in Democracies, (with Mike Tomz and Jesssica Weeks).” International Organization (Forthcoming). Print.

How Do Observers Assess Resolve? (with Josh Kertzer and Jonathan Renshon).” British Journal of Political Science (Forthcoming). Print. how_do_observers.pdf

Tying Hands, Sinking Costs, and Leader Attributes (with Josh Kertzer and Jonathan Renshon).” Journal of Conflict Resolution 62.10 (2018): , 62, 10, 2150-2179. Print. Abstract jcr_piece.pdf

The Logic of "Offstage" Signaling: Domestic Politics, Regime Type, and Major Power-Protégé Relations (with Roseanne McManus).” International Organization (2017): 1-33. Print. the_logic_of_offstage.pdf

Covert Communication: The Intelligibility and Credibility of Signaling in Secret (with Austin Carson).” Security Studies 26.1 (2017): 26:1, 124-156. Print. Abstract covert_communication_ss_2017.pdf

To Arm or to Ally? The Patron's Dilemma and the Strategic Logic of Arms Transfers and Alliances (with Alex Lanoszka and Zack Cooper).” International Security 41.2 (2016): 41:2, 90-139. Print. to_arm_or_to_ally.pdf

The Psychological Logic of Peace Summits: How Empathy Shapes Outcomes of Diplomatic Negotiations (with Marcus Holmes)." International Studies Quarterly (2016): 1-16. Print. the_psychological_logic_of_peace_summits.pdf

Revisiting Reputation: How do past actions matter in International Politics (with Alex Weisiger).” International Organization 69.2 (2015): 69:2, 473-495. Print. revisiting_reputation.pdf

Tying Hands behind Closed Doors: The Logic and Practice of Secret Reassurance.” Security Studies 22.3 (2013): 22:3, 405-435. Print. Tying Hands Behind Closed Doors.pdf

In the Eye of the Beholder: How Leaders and Intelligence Organizations Assess Intentions.” International Security 38.1 (2013): 38:1, 7-51. Print.Abstract IntheEyeoftheBeholder-KYM.pdf

The Personal Touch: Leaders' Impressions, Costly Signaling, and Assessments of Sincerity in International Affairs (with Todd Hall).” International Studies Quarterly 56.3 (2012): 56:3, 560-573. Print. ISQ-KerenYarhiMilo&ToddHall-Sept2012.pdf

Working Papers/Under Review

"Redefining the Debate over Credibility and Reputation: Promises and Limits of New Scholarship," with Robert Jervis and Don Casler (Under Review)

"A Not-So-Open Book: Secret Information and Military Cooperation Between Allies," with Mindy Haas (Under Review)

"Democratic Peace and Covert Military Force," with Allison Carnegie and Josh Kertzer (Under Review)

“Democratic Leaders, Crises and War: Evidence from Elites and Public Survey Experiments in the US and Israel," with Josh Kertzer and Jonathan Renshon. (Under Review)

"Are Red Lines Red Herrings? with Joshua Kertzer and Jonathan Renshon (Under Review)

June 11, 2018
So Trump's meeting Kim Jong Un after all. Here's why face-to-face diplomacy matters.
The Washington Post. Marcus Holmes and Keren Yarhi-Milo

January/February 2018
After Credibility: American Foreign Policy in the Trump Era
Foreign Affairs. Keren Yarhi-Milo

April 26, 2017
Trump is trying to send North Korea a message. He's got a long way to go.
The Washington Post, " Monkey Cage." Danielle Lupton, Roseanne McManus, and Keren Yarhi-Milo

January 13, 2017
How can Donald Trump reassure nervous U.S. allies? By giving them weapons.
The Washington Post. Keren Yarhi-Milo, Alexander Lanoszka, and Zack Cooper

October 4, 2016
What American Credibility Myth? How and Why Reputation Matters
War on the Rocks. Alex Weisiger and Keren Yarhi-Milo 

 

Courses Taught